As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 14% probability that any Consumer Price Index (CPI YoY) report is above 4.2% for 2026. 9 outcomes · resolves Jan 1, 2027.
1. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each upon market resolution; all others settle at $0.00.
2. Trades execute at the current market price unless a limit order is placed.
3. Limit orders remain active until filled, cancelled, or the market closes.
4. Shares can be sold any time before the market closes.
5. Markets may be suspended or cancelled for ambiguous outcomes.
6. All balances and positions are denominated in USD.
Each outcome settles on its own terms. For “Above 4.2%”: If any Consumer Price Index (CPI YoY) report is above 4.2% for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Resolved using Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation and Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index.
This Economics market on OpinionKings has 9 outcomes. “Above 4.2%” leads at 14%, down from 22% a week ago. The next most likely outcome, “Above 4.6%”, is at 12%. Each price is the probability traders currently assign to that outcome, and it moves as they buy and sell. Trading closes Jan 1, 2027.