As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 99% probability that S&P 500 Total Return Index performs above BTC for the week of 2026 by 0.001% rounded to the nearest 3rd. 2 outcomes · resolves Dec 31, 2026.
1. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each upon market resolution; all others settle at $0.00.
2. Trades execute at the current market price unless a limit order is placed.
3. Limit orders remain active until filled, cancelled, or the market closes.
4. Shares can be sold any time before the market closes.
5. Markets may be suspended or cancelled for ambiguous outcomes.
6. All balances and positions are denominated in USD.
Each outcome settles on its own terms. For “S&P 500 Total Return Index”: If S&P 500 Total Return Index performs above BTC for the week of 2026 by 0.001% rounded to the nearest 3rd then the market resolves to Yes. Percent return is calculated from the official open price of each asset on January 2, 2026 (the first published trading day of the calendar year) and the official closing price on December 31, 2026. Resolved using For example, Google Finance.
This Financials market on OpinionKings has 2 outcomes. “S&P 500 Total Return Index” leads at 99%, up from 97% a week ago. The next most likely outcome, “BTC”, is at 6%. Each price is the probability traders currently assign to that outcome, and it moves as they buy and sell. Trading closes Dec 31, 2026.
