As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 65% probability that Hawaii’s total visitor expenditures for calendar year 2026 are above $21.7531 billion. 2 outcomes · resolves Jan 29, 2027.
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If Hawaii’s total visitor expenditures for calendar year 2026 are above $21.7531 billion, then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is the total statewide visitor expenditures for calendar year 2026, measured in nominal dollars, as reported by the State of Hawaii Department of Business, Economic Development & Tourism. This includes expenditures associated with visitors arriving by air and by out-of-state cruise ships. It does not use inflation-adjusted spending, average daily visitor spending, visitor days, or spending for an individual island or visitor market. Resolved using Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
This Economics market on OpinionKings has 2 outcomes. The chance of Yes is 65%, down from 84% a week ago. Each price is the probability traders currently assign to that outcome, and it moves as they buy and sell. Trading closes Jan 29, 2027.
