As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 29% probability that Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2028 Class III New York Senate seat. 8 outcomes · resolves Nov 7, 2029.
1. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each upon market resolution; all others settle at $0.00.
2. Trades execute at the current market price unless a limit order is placed.
3. Limit orders remain active until filled, cancelled, or the market closes.
4. Shares can be sold any time before the market closes.
5. Markets may be suspended or cancelled for ambiguous outcomes.
6. All balances and positions are denominated in USD.
Each outcome settles on its own terms. For “Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez”: If Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2028 Class III New York Senate seat, then the market resolves to Yes. Resolved using Republican Party and Democratic Party.
This Elections market on OpinionKings has 8 outcomes. “Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez” leads at 29%, down from 45% a week ago. The next most likely outcome, “Chuck Schumer”, is at 25%. Each price is the probability traders currently assign to that outcome, and it moves as they buy and sell. Trading closes Nov 7, 2029.
