As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 22% probability that the answer to “Will the US government rescind the Anthropic ban?” is “Before Jan 1, 2027”. 2 outcomes · resolves Mar 31, 2027.
1. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each upon market resolution; all others settle at $0.00.
2. Trades execute at the current market price unless a limit order is placed.
3. Limit orders remain active until filled, cancelled, or the market closes.
4. Shares can be sold any time before the market closes.
5. Markets may be suspended or cancelled for ambiguous outcomes.
6. All balances and positions are denominated in USD.
Each outcome settles on its own terms. For “Before Jan 1, 2027”: If the Department of Defense or the White House announces an official action rescinding, waiving, or materially modifying the supply-chain-risk designation or phaseout directive applicable to Anthropic, so as to permit federal government or Department of Defense use of Anthropic's AI models or services before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Resolved using ABC, The Information and MSNBC.
This Politics market on OpinionKings has 2 outcomes. “Before Jan 1, 2027” leads at 22%, down from 28% a week ago. Each price is the probability traders currently assign to that outcome, and it moves as they buy and sell. Trading closes Mar 31, 2027.
