As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 98% probability that the highest auction work sale price of any artwork on Artsy is above $150M in 2026. 8 outcomes · resolves Dec 31, 2026.
1. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each upon market resolution; all others settle at $0.00.
2. Trades execute at the current market price unless a limit order is placed.
3. Limit orders remain active until filled, cancelled, or the market closes.
4. Shares can be sold any time before the market closes.
5. Markets may be suspended or cancelled for ambiguous outcomes.
6. All balances and positions are denominated in USD.
Each outcome settles on its own terms. For “Above $150M”: If the highest auction work sale price of any artwork on Artsy is above $150M in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. For resolution purposes, “highest auction artwork sale price” refers to the single highest auction artwork sale price explicitly reported by the Source Agency in its publication “Most Expensive Auction Works in 2026.” Only artworks publicly sold at auction and explicitly reported by the Source Agency shall be considered. Resolved using Sotheby’s, Phillips and Christie’s.
This Entertainment market on OpinionKings has 8 outcomes. “Above $150M” leads at 98%, unchanged from a week ago. The next most likely outcome, “Above $200M”, is at 58%. Each price is the probability traders currently assign to that outcome, and it moves as they buy and sell. Trading closes Dec 31, 2026.
