As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 81% probability that FHFA reports that Nevada’s seasonally adjusted Purchase-Only House Price Index for Q4 2026 is above 423.62. 2 outcomes · resolves Feb 28, 2027.
1. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each upon market resolution; all others settle at $0.00.
2. Trades execute at the current market price unless a limit order is placed.
3. Limit orders remain active until filled, cancelled, or the market closes.
4. Shares can be sold any time before the market closes.
5. Markets may be suspended or cancelled for ambiguous outcomes.
6. All balances and positions are denominated in USD.
If FHFA reports that Nevada’s seasonally adjusted Purchase-Only House Price Index for Q4 2026 is above 423.62, then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is the Nevada (NV) Q4 2026 indexsa value in FHFA’s quarterly Purchase-Only State HPI dataset. The 423.62 threshold is fixed and will not change if FHFA later revises its Q4 2025 value. Use NV → 2026 → Q4 → indexsa Resolved using Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
This Economics market on OpinionKings has 2 outcomes. The chance of Yes is 81%, unchanged from a week ago. Each price is the probability traders currently assign to that outcome, and it moves as they buy and sell. Trading closes Feb 28, 2027.
