As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 16% probability that the United States real GDP growth in 2033 is between 1.6% to 2.0%. 14 outcomes · resolves Feb 28, 2034.
1. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each upon market resolution; all others settle at $0.00.
2. Trades execute at the current market price unless a limit order is placed.
3. Limit orders remain active until filled, cancelled, or the market closes.
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Each outcome settles on its own terms. For “1.6% to 2.0%”: If the United States real GDP growth in 2033 is between 1.6% to 2.0%, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is based on the Bureau of Economic Analysis’s advance estimate of real gross domestic product (GDP) growth in the United States for calendar year 2033. The Expiration Value will be the first-published annual percent change in real GDP for 2033 from BEA’s GDP release, expected with the advance estimate of Q4 2033 GDP in early 2034. Resolved using Bureau of Economic Analysis.
This Economics market on OpinionKings has 14 outcomes. “1.6% to 2.0%” leads at 16%, down from 23% a week ago. The next most likely outcome, “2.1% to 2.5%”, is at 15%. Each price is the probability traders currently assign to that outcome, and it moves as they buy and sell. Trading closes Feb 28, 2034.
