As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 32% probability that Costco announces a price increase for a hot dog combo by Jan 1, 2030. 4 outcomes · resolves Jan 1, 2030.
1. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each upon market resolution; all others settle at $0.00.
2. Trades execute at the current market price unless a limit order is placed.
3. Limit orders remain active until filled, cancelled, or the market closes.
4. Shares can be sold any time before the market closes.
5. Markets may be suspended or cancelled for ambiguous outcomes.
6. All balances and positions are denominated in USD.
Each outcome settles on its own terms. For “Before 2030”: If Costco announces a price increase for a hot dog combo by Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes. Resolved using Costco.
This Economics market on OpinionKings has 4 outcomes. “Before 2030” leads at 32%, up from 31% a week ago. The next most likely outcome, “Before 2029”, is at 19%. Each price is the probability traders currently assign to that outcome, and it moves as they buy and sell. Trading closes Jan 1, 2030.
