As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 14% probability that the spot price of Ethereum in U.S. dollars is below 1500.00 by Jan 1, 2027 at 12:00AM ET. 4 outcomes · resolves Jan 1, 2027.
1. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each upon market resolution; all others settle at $0.00.
2. Trades execute at the current market price unless a limit order is placed.
3. Limit orders remain active until filled, cancelled, or the market closes.
4. Shares can be sold any time before the market closes.
5. Markets may be suspended or cancelled for ambiguous outcomes.
6. All balances and positions are denominated in USD.
Each outcome settles on its own terms. For “Below $1,500.00”: If the spot price of Ethereum in U.S. dollars is below 1500.00 by Jan 1, 2027 at 12:00AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes. The Ethereum price is measured using the CF Ethereum Real-Time Index (ETHUSD_RTI) with a trimmed mean calculation that excludes the top 20% and bottom 20% of minute-by-minute values between market issuance and the target time. The market resolves based on whether the trimmed mean price reaches the specified level by the deadline. Resolved using CF Benchmarks.
This Crypto market on OpinionKings has 4 outcomes. “Below $1,500.00” leads at 14%, up from 13% a week ago. The next most likely outcome, “Below $1,250.00”, is at 8%. Each price is the probability traders currently assign to that outcome, and it moves as they buy and sell. Trading closes Jan 1, 2027.
