As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 96% probability that the 30-Yr FRM is above 8.00% in any Primary Mortgage Market Survey (PMMS) release published in 2027. 13 outcomes · resolves Dec 30, 2027.
1. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each upon market resolution; all others settle at $0.00.
2. Trades execute at the current market price unless a limit order is placed.
3. Limit orders remain active until filled, cancelled, or the market closes.
4. Shares can be sold any time before the market closes.
5. Markets may be suspended or cancelled for ambiguous outcomes.
6. All balances and positions are denominated in USD.
Each outcome settles on its own terms. For “Above 8.00%”: If the 30-Yr FRM is above 8.00% in any Primary Mortgage Market Survey (PMMS) release published in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Only PMMS releases published from January 1 through December 31, 2027, inclusive, count. The market uses the initially published weekly 30-year fixed-rate mortgage average; subsequent revisions are excluded. A reading equal to the strike does not qualify. Resolved using Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation and Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index.
This Economics market on OpinionKings has 13 outcomes. “Above 8.00%” leads at 96%, up from 39% a week ago. The next most likely outcome, “Above 7.25%”, is at 83%. Each price is the probability traders currently assign to that outcome, and it moves as they buy and sell. Trading closes Dec 30, 2027.
