As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 46% probability that the June 2027 BLS Employment Cost Index value used under Connecticut General Statutes §31-58 produces a Connecticut minimum fair wage for January 1, 2028 that is above $18.00 per hour. 2 outcomes · resolves Jul 30, 2027.
1. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each upon market resolution; all others settle at $0.00.
2. Trades execute at the current market price unless a limit order is placed.
3. Limit orders remain active until filled, cancelled, or the market closes.
4. Shares can be sold any time before the market closes.
5. Markets may be suspended or cancelled for ambiguous outcomes.
6. All balances and positions are denominated in USD.
If the June 2027 BLS Employment Cost Index value used under Connecticut General Statutes §31-58 produces a Connecticut minimum fair wage for January 1, 2028 that is above $18.00 per hour, then the market resolves to Yes. Under Connecticut law, the January 1, 2028 rate is determined by the 12-month percentage change in the applicable ECI through June 30, 2027, with the resulting wage rounded to the nearest cent. Resolution uses the 12-month percent change ending June 2027, not seasonally adjusted, for wages and salaries for all civilian workers. Resolved using Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
This Economics market on OpinionKings has 2 outcomes. The chance of Yes is 46%, unchanged from a week ago. Each price is the probability traders currently assign to that outcome, and it moves as they buy and sell. Trading closes Jul 30, 2027.
