As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 49% probability that the winner of the next Guatemalan Congressional election is National Unity of Hope. 7 outcomes · resolves Aug 30, 2028.
1. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each upon market resolution; all others settle at $0.00.
2. Trades execute at the current market price unless a limit order is placed.
3. Limit orders remain active until filled, cancelled, or the market closes.
4. Shares can be sold any time before the market closes.
5. Markets may be suspended or cancelled for ambiguous outcomes.
6. All balances and positions are denominated in USD.
Each outcome settles on its own terms. For “National Unity of Hope”: If the winner of the next Guatemalan Congressional election is National Unity of Hope, then the market resolves to Yes. For parliamentary/legislative elections, the winner is the party, coalition, or alliance winning the most seats in the specified chamber.
This Elections market on OpinionKings has 7 outcomes. “National Unity of Hope” leads at 49%, unchanged from a week ago. The next most likely outcome, “Movimiento Semilla”, is at 17%. Each price is the probability traders currently assign to that outcome, and it moves as they buy and sell. Trading closes Aug 30, 2028.
