As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 3% probability that the number of U.S. Senate seats won by Republican Party candidates is at least 14 in the 2026 U.S. Senate elections. 2 outcomes · resolves Jan 3, 2027.
1. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each upon market resolution; all others settle at $0.00.
2. Trades execute at the current market price unless a limit order is placed.
3. Limit orders remain active until filled, cancelled, or the market closes.
4. Shares can be sold any time before the market closes.
5. Markets may be suspended or cancelled for ambiguous outcomes.
6. All balances and positions are denominated in USD.
Each outcome settles on its own terms. For “At least 14”: If the number of U.S. Senate seats won by Republican Party candidates is at least 14 in the 2026 U.S. Senate elections, then the market resolves to Yes. A seat counts only if the relevant election authority records a Republican designation for the winning candidate’s candidacy in the November 3, 2026 general election; a recognized state affiliate, any one of several ballot lines, or a declared write-in candidacy so recorded all qualify. Resolved using Fox News, Decision Desk HQ and CBS.
This Politics market on OpinionKings has 2 outcomes. “At least 14” leads at 3%, down from 17% a week ago. The next most likely outcome, “At least 15”, is at 2%. Each price is the probability traders currently assign to that outcome, and it moves as they buy and sell. Trading closes Jan 3, 2027.
