As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 51% probability that FHFA reports Utah’s seasonally adjusted Purchase-Only House Price Index for Q4 2026 is above 722.63. 2 outcomes · resolves Feb 28, 2027.
1. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each upon market resolution; all others settle at $0.00.
2. Trades execute at the current market price unless a limit order is placed.
3. Limit orders remain active until filled, cancelled, or the market closes.
4. Shares can be sold any time before the market closes.
5. Markets may be suspended or cancelled for ambiguous outcomes.
6. All balances and positions are denominated in USD.
If FHFA reports Utah’s seasonally adjusted Purchase-Only House Price Index for Q4 2026 is above 722.63, then the market resolves to Yes. Resolution will use the Utah (UT) Q4 2026 index_sa value in FHFA’s Purchase-Only State HPI dataset from the first FHFA quarterly release containing Q4 2026 data. The strike of 722.63 is fixed and will not change if FHFA subsequently revises its Q4 2025 index value. Subsequent revisions to the first-published Q4 2026 value will not affect resolution. Resolved using Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
This Economics market on OpinionKings has 2 outcomes. The chance of Yes is 51%, unchanged from a week ago. Each price is the probability traders currently assign to that outcome, and it moves as they buy and sell. Trading closes Feb 28, 2027.
