As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 69% probability that U.S. Census Bureau reports that the number of new privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Colorado in 2026 is above 30,000. 5 outcomes · resolves Jan 27, 2027.
1. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each upon market resolution; all others settle at $0.00.
2. Trades execute at the current market price unless a limit order is placed.
3. Limit orders remain active until filled, cancelled, or the market closes.
4. Shares can be sold any time before the market closes.
5. Markets may be suspended or cancelled for ambiguous outcomes.
6. All balances and positions are denominated in USD.
Each outcome settles on its own terms. For “Above 30,000”: If U.S. Census Bureau reports that the number of new privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Colorado in 2026 is above 30,000, then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is the calendar-year total number of new privately owned residential housing units authorized by building permits in Colorado. This counts housing units authorized, not the number of permit documents issued. It includes units in 1-unit, 2-unit, 3-unit, 4-unit, and 5-or-more-unit structures. Resolved using Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
This Economics market on OpinionKings has 5 outcomes. “Above 30,000” leads at 69%, up from 59% a week ago. The next most likely outcome, “Above 32,000”, is at 29%. Each price is the probability traders currently assign to that outcome, and it moves as they buy and sell. Trading closes Jan 27, 2027.
