As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 18% probability that Ron DeSantis is reported before Jan 1, 2027 to have visited Mar-a-Lago. 11 outcomes · resolves Jan 1, 2027.
1. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each upon market resolution; all others settle at $0.00.
2. Trades execute at the current market price unless a limit order is placed.
3. Limit orders remain active until filled, cancelled, or the market closes.
4. Shares can be sold any time before the market closes.
5. Markets may be suspended or cancelled for ambiguous outcomes.
6. All balances and positions are denominated in USD.
Each outcome settles on its own terms. For “Ron DeSantis”: If Ron DeSantis is reported after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027 to have visited Mar-a-Lago, then the market resolves to Yes. Reporting will be encompassed by this Payout Criterion even if the reported visit is before Issuance as long as the visit was not previously reported. Resolved using The New York Times.
This Politics market on OpinionKings has 11 outcomes. “Ron DeSantis” leads at 18%, down from 55% a week ago. The next most likely outcome, “Volodymyr Zelenskyy”, is at 17%. Each price is the probability traders currently assign to that outcome, and it moves as they buy and sell. Trading closes Jan 1, 2027.
