As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 6% probability that Kylian Mbappe transfers out of Real Madrid before Jan 1, 2027. 2 outcomes · resolves Dec 31, 2026.
1. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each upon market resolution; all others settle at $0.00.
2. Trades execute at the current market price unless a limit order is placed.
3. Limit orders remain active until filled, cancelled, or the market closes.
4. Shares can be sold any time before the market closes.
5. Markets may be suspended or cancelled for ambiguous outcomes.
6. All balances and positions are denominated in USD.
If Kylian Mbappe transfers out of Real Madrid before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. This includes permanent transfers out (the player is sold or transferred to another club, whether for a fee or as a free transfer), loans out (the player is loaned out to another club for any duration), or an official contract release (including expiration) or termination (the player and club part ways, making the player a free agent). Resolved using Fox Sports, The Athletic and ESPN.
This Sports market on OpinionKings has 2 outcomes. The chance of Yes is 6%, up from 1% a week ago. Each price is the probability traders currently assign to that outcome, and it moves as they buy and sell. Trading closes Dec 31, 2026.
