As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 50% probability that the United Kingdom agrees to or announces the removal or replacement of the Renewables Obligation Certificate buy-out fund redistribution mechanism before Jan 1, 2028. 3 outcomes · resolves Dec 31, 2027.
1. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each upon market resolution; all others settle at $0.00.
2. Trades execute at the current market price unless a limit order is placed.
3. Limit orders remain active until filled, cancelled, or the market closes.
4. Shares can be sold any time before the market closes.
5. Markets may be suspended or cancelled for ambiguous outcomes.
6. All balances and positions are denominated in USD.
Each outcome settles on its own terms. For “ROC recycle removal”: If the United Kingdom agrees to or announces the removal or replacement of the Renewables Obligation Certificate buy-out fund redistribution mechanism before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. Resolved using Deutsche Welle, The Guardian and BBC News.
This Politics market on OpinionKings has 3 outcomes. “ROC recycle removal” leads at 50%, up from 49% a week ago. The next most likely outcome, “Cancellation”, is at 24%. Each price is the probability traders currently assign to that outcome, and it moves as they buy and sell. Trading closes Dec 31, 2027.
