As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 87% probability that any hourly temperature value reported for KSJC in San Jose within December 1, 2026 through December 31, 2026 is strictly less than 40 degrees Fahrenheit. 2 outcomes · resolves Jan 1, 2027.
1. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each upon market resolution; all others settle at $0.00.
2. Trades execute at the current market price unless a limit order is placed.
3. Limit orders remain active until filled, cancelled, or the market closes.
4. Shares can be sold any time before the market closes.
5. Markets may be suspended or cancelled for ambiguous outcomes.
6. All balances and positions are denominated in USD.
If any hourly temperature value reported for KSJC in San Jose within December 1, 2026 through December 31, 2026 is strictly less than 40 degrees Fahrenheit, then the market resolves to Yes. Data for KSJC is available at https://weather.com/kalshi. Temperature values are the hourly temperature observations reported by The Weather Company for KSJC. The market resolves Yes if any single hourly value within December 1, 2026 through December 31, 2026 satisfies the condition; a value exactly equal to 40 degrees does not. Resolved using The Weather Company.
This Climate and Weather market on OpinionKings has 2 outcomes. The chance of Yes is 87%, up from 67% a week ago. Each price is the probability traders currently assign to that outcome, and it moves as they buy and sell. Trading closes Jan 1, 2027.
