As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 5% probability that legislation that requires proof of U.S. citizenship as a condition of registering to vote in federal elections has become law before Jul 1, 2027. 4 outcomes · resolves Jan 1, 2028.
1. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each upon market resolution; all others settle at $0.00.
2. Trades execute at the current market price unless a limit order is placed.
3. Limit orders remain active until filled, cancelled, or the market closes.
4. Shares can be sold any time before the market closes.
5. Markets may be suspended or cancelled for ambiguous outcomes.
6. All balances and positions are denominated in USD.
Each outcome settles on its own terms. For “Before Jul 1, 2027”: If legislation that requires proof of U.S. citizenship as a condition of registering to vote in federal elections has become law after Issuance and before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Resolved using White House and Library of Congress.
This Politics market on OpinionKings has 4 outcomes. “Before Jul 1, 2027” leads at 5%, up from 4% a week ago. The next most likely outcome, “Before Jan 1, 2028”, is at 4%. Each price is the probability traders currently assign to that outcome, and it moves as they buy and sell. Trading closes Jan 1, 2028.
