As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 99% probability that the Democratic party has above 220 House seats on Feb 1, 2027. 23 outcomes · resolves Feb 1, 2027.
1. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each upon market resolution; all others settle at $0.00.
2. Trades execute at the current market price unless a limit order is placed.
3. Limit orders remain active until filled, cancelled, or the market closes.
4. Shares can be sold any time before the market closes.
5. Markets may be suspended or cancelled for ambiguous outcomes.
6. All balances and positions are denominated in USD.
Each outcome settles on its own terms. For “Above 220”: If the Democratic party has above 220 House seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Individuals caucusing with the Democrats will be included. Resolved using United States Congress.
This Elections market on OpinionKings has 23 outcomes. “Above 220” leads at 99%, up from 86% a week ago. The next most likely outcome, “Above 244”, is at 99%. Each price is the probability traders currently assign to that outcome, and it moves as they buy and sell. Trading closes Feb 1, 2027.
