As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 95% probability that the increase in total non-farm payroll employment is above -25000 as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics Monthly Employment Situation Report for the month of November 2026. 13 outcomes · resolves Dec 4, 2026.
1. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each upon market resolution; all others settle at $0.00.
2. Trades execute at the current market price unless a limit order is placed.
3. Limit orders remain active until filled, cancelled, or the market closes.
4. Shares can be sold any time before the market closes.
5. Markets may be suspended or cancelled for ambiguous outcomes.
6. All balances and positions are denominated in USD.
Each outcome settles on its own terms. For “Above -25,000”: If the increase in total non-farm payroll employment is above -25000 as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics Monthly Employment Situation Report for the month of November 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The market closes at 8:29 AM ET on the expected date of the data release. Resolved using BLS.
This Economics market on OpinionKings has 13 outcomes. “Above -25,000” leads at 95%, up from 89% a week ago. The next most likely outcome, “Above 0”, is at 92%. Each price is the probability traders currently assign to that outcome, and it moves as they buy and sell. Trading closes Dec 4, 2026.
