As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 35% probability that the answer to “Will the CIT strike down Trump's Section 301 tariffs in 2026?” is Yes. 2 outcomes · resolves Dec 31, 2026.
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If the U.S. Court of International Trade issues a written ruling that holds unlawful, vacates, sets aside, or enjoins collection of the 10%–12.5% Section 301 forced-labor tariffs, in whole or in part, as to any party in any case challenging the Section 301 forced-labor tariffs imposed effective July 24, 2026, including Burlap and Barrel, Inc. v. United States and New York v. United States, No. 26-03467, or any consolidation or recaptioning thereof before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Resolved using CourtListener, Westlaw and ABC.
This Politics market on OpinionKings has 2 outcomes. The chance of Yes is 35%, up from 32% a week ago. Each price is the probability traders currently assign to that outcome, and it moves as they buy and sell. Trading closes Dec 31, 2026.
