As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 96% probability that the ADP Employment Change in Nov 2026 is above -25000. 7 outcomes · resolves Dec 2, 2026.
1. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each upon market resolution; all others settle at $0.00.
2. Trades execute at the current market price unless a limit order is placed.
3. Limit orders remain active until filled, cancelled, or the market closes.
4. Shares can be sold any time before the market closes.
5. Markets may be suspended or cancelled for ambiguous outcomes.
6. All balances and positions are denominated in USD.
Each outcome settles on its own terms. For “Above -25000”: If the ADP Employment Change in Nov 2026 is above -25000, then the market resolves to Yes. Resolved using ADP.
This Economics market on OpinionKings has 7 outcomes. “Above -25000” leads at 96%, unchanged from a week ago. The next most likely outcome, “Above 0”, is at 81%. Each price is the probability traders currently assign to that outcome, and it moves as they buy and sell. Trading closes Dec 2, 2026.
