As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 91% probability that the first calendar day in the 2026-27 winter season on which Sierra-at-Tahoe conducts Seasonal Opening Operations occurs before Dec 27, 2026. 5 outcomes · resolves Jan 16, 2027.
1. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each upon market resolution; all others settle at $0.00.
2. Trades execute at the current market price unless a limit order is placed.
3. Limit orders remain active until filled, cancelled, or the market closes.
4. Shares can be sold any time before the market closes.
5. Markets may be suspended or cancelled for ambiguous outcomes.
6. All balances and positions are denominated in USD.
Each outcome settles on its own terms. For “Before Dec 27, 2026”: If the first calendar day in the 2026-27 winter season on which Sierra-at-Tahoe conducts Seasonal Opening Operations occurs before Dec 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. How this is resolved Seasonal Opening Operations require at least one passenger lift to carry members of the general public uphill for downhill skiing or snowboarding on terrain designated open for that use by Sierra-at-Tahoe. The opening calendar day is determined in Eastern Time. Resolved using Sierra-at-Tahoe Resort, USA Today and Associated Press.
This Climate and Weather market on OpinionKings has 5 outcomes. “Before Dec 27, 2026” leads at 91%, up from 53% a week ago. The next most likely outcome, “Before Jan 10, 2027”, is at 90%. Each price is the probability traders currently assign to that outcome, and it moves as they buy and sell. Trading closes Jan 16, 2027.
