As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 99% probability that the number of U.S. House seats won by Democratic Party candidates is at least 258 in the 2026 U.S. House elections. 6 outcomes · resolves Jan 3, 2027.
1. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each upon market resolution; all others settle at $0.00.
2. Trades execute at the current market price unless a limit order is placed.
3. Limit orders remain active until filled, cancelled, or the market closes.
4. Shares can be sold any time before the market closes.
5. Markets may be suspended or cancelled for ambiguous outcomes.
6. All balances and positions are denominated in USD.
Each outcome settles on its own terms. For “At least 258”: If the number of U.S. House seats won by Democratic Party candidates is at least 258 in the 2026 U.S. House elections, then the market resolves to Yes. Resolved using Fox News, Decision Desk HQ and NBC News.
This Politics market on OpinionKings has 6 outcomes. “At least 258” leads at 99%, up from 95% a week ago. The next most likely outcome, “At least 262”, is at 7%. Each price is the probability traders currently assign to that outcome, and it moves as they buy and sell. Trading closes Jan 3, 2027.
