As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 51% probability that the UK agrees to or announces a cut or repeal of its digital services tax before Apr 6, 2028. 2 outcomes · resolves Apr 5, 2028.
1. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each upon market resolution; all others settle at $0.00.
2. Trades execute at the current market price unless a limit order is placed.
3. Limit orders remain active until filled, cancelled, or the market closes.
4. Shares can be sold any time before the market closes.
5. Markets may be suspended or cancelled for ambiguous outcomes.
6. All balances and positions are denominated in USD.
Each outcome settles on its own terms. For “Before Apr 6, 2028”: If the UK agrees to or announces a cut or repeal of its digital services tax before Apr 6, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. A market resolves to Yes on a UK government announcement that abolishes the digital services tax, reduces its rate, raises either of its revenue thresholds, suspends it, or exempts companies from its scope. There is no minimum size and the measure need not be legislated or in force before the strike date. Resolved using HM Treasury.
This Politics market on OpinionKings has 2 outcomes. “Before Apr 6, 2028” leads at 51%, unchanged from a week ago. The next most likely outcome, “Before Apr 6, 2027”, is at 27%. Each price is the probability traders currently assign to that outcome, and it moves as they buy and sell. Trading closes Apr 5, 2028.
