As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 9% probability that Elon Musk is confirmed as CEO for X before Jan 1, 2027. 8 outcomes · resolves Jan 1, 2027.
1. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each upon market resolution; all others settle at $0.00.
2. Trades execute at the current market price unless a limit order is placed.
3. Limit orders remain active until filled, cancelled, or the market closes.
4. Shares can be sold any time before the market closes.
5. Markets may be suspended or cancelled for ambiguous outcomes.
6. All balances and positions are denominated in USD.
Each outcome settles on its own terms. For “Elon Musk”: If Elon Musk is confirmed as CEO for X before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Important information: An acting or interim CEO role, including from Elon Musk, would not satisfy the payout criterion. It must be a full-time CEO position. Resolved using The Washington Post, ESPN and NBC.
This Companies market on OpinionKings has 8 outcomes. “Elon Musk” leads at 9%, up from 8% a week ago. The next most likely outcome, “Nikita Bier”, is at 6%. Each price is the probability traders currently assign to that outcome, and it moves as they buy and sell. Trading closes Jan 1, 2027.
