As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 45% probability that the Tesla Roadster begins delivery before Jan 1, 2029. 5 outcomes · resolves Dec 31, 2028.
1. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each upon market resolution; all others settle at $0.00.
2. Trades execute at the current market price unless a limit order is placed.
3. Limit orders remain active until filled, cancelled, or the market closes.
4. Shares can be sold any time before the market closes.
5. Markets may be suspended or cancelled for ambiguous outcomes.
6. All balances and positions are denominated in USD.
Each outcome settles on its own terms. For “Before 2029”: If the Tesla Roadster begins delivery before Jan 1, 2029, the market resolves to Yes. Resolved using Tesla.
This Financials market on OpinionKings has 5 outcomes. “Before 2029” leads at 45%, down from 55% a week ago. The next most likely outcome, “Before July, 2028”, is at 36%. Each price is the probability traders currently assign to that outcome, and it moves as they buy and sell. Trading closes Dec 31, 2028.
