As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 18% probability that Reid Wiseman is awarded the Presidential Medal of Freedom before Jan 1, 2027. 9 outcomes · resolves Dec 31, 2026.
1. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each upon market resolution; all others settle at $0.00.
2. Trades execute at the current market price unless a limit order is placed.
3. Limit orders remain active until filled, cancelled, or the market closes.
4. Shares can be sold any time before the market closes.
5. Markets may be suspended or cancelled for ambiguous outcomes.
6. All balances and positions are denominated in USD.
Each outcome settles on its own terms. For “Reid Wiseman”: If Reid Wiseman is awarded the Presidential Medal of Freedom before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Resolved using White House, Semafor and ABC.
This Politics market on OpinionKings has 9 outcomes. “Reid Wiseman” leads at 18%, unchanged from a week ago. The next most likely outcome, “Sylvester Stallone”, is at 13%. Each price is the probability traders currently assign to that outcome, and it moves as they buy and sell. Trading closes Dec 31, 2026.
