As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 86% probability that Forbes reports that Elon Musk's net worth on December 31, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET is above $700 billion. 21 outcomes · resolves Dec 31, 2026.
1. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each upon market resolution; all others settle at $0.00.
2. Trades execute at the current market price unless a limit order is placed.
3. Limit orders remain active until filled, cancelled, or the market closes.
4. Shares can be sold any time before the market closes.
5. Markets may be suspended or cancelled for ambiguous outcomes.
6. All balances and positions are denominated in USD.
Each outcome settles on its own terms. For “Above $700 billion”: If Forbes reports that Elon Musk's net worth on December 31, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET is above $700 billion, then the market resolves to Yes. This market will be determined by the net worth value displayed for Elon Musk on the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires page at 5:00 PM ET on December 31, 2026. Resolved using Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation and Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index.
This Economics market on OpinionKings has 21 outcomes. “Above $700 billion” leads at 86%, up from 72% a week ago. The next most likely outcome, “Above $800 billion”, is at 68%. Each price is the probability traders currently assign to that outcome, and it moves as they buy and sell. Trading closes Dec 31, 2026.
