As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 80% probability that the number of Senators voting Yea on final passage of the Bipartisan American Affordability and Jobs Act of 2026 or other legislation containing its core permitting reforms before Jan 1, 2027 is above 56. 8 outcomes · resolves Jan 1, 2027.
1. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each upon market resolution; all others settle at $0.00.
2. Trades execute at the current market price unless a limit order is placed.
3. Limit orders remain active until filled, cancelled, or the market closes.
4. Shares can be sold any time before the market closes.
5. Markets may be suspended or cancelled for ambiguous outcomes.
6. All balances and positions are denominated in USD.
Each outcome settles on its own terms. For “Above 56”: If the number of Senators voting Yea on final passage of the Bipartisan American Affordability and Jobs Act of 2026 or other legislation containing its core permitting reforms before Jan 1, 2027 is above 56, then the market resolves to Yes. The Bipartisan American Affordability and Jobs Act of 2026 counts under that name, including as amended. Resolved using Library of Congress.
This Politics market on OpinionKings has 8 outcomes. “Above 56” leads at 80%, up from 73% a week ago. The next most likely outcome, “Above 60”, is at 75%. Each price is the probability traders currently assign to that outcome, and it moves as they buy and sell. Trading closes Jan 1, 2027.
