As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 6% probability that the answer to “Will SCOTUS overturn Trump's $83.3 million Carroll judgment?” is Yes. 2 outcomes · resolves Dec 31, 2027.
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If the U.S. Supreme Court overturns in full the February 8, 2024 judgment awarding E. Jean Carroll $83.3 million in compensatory and punitive damages in Donald J. Trump v. E. Jean Carroll, No. 26-141, or United States v. E. Jean Carroll, et al., No. 26-142, including any consolidation of those petitions before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. A ruling qualifies only if it leaves none of the February 8, 2024 judgment enforceable against Donald J. Trump. Resolved using CourtListener, Westlaw and ABC.
This Politics market on OpinionKings has 2 outcomes. The chance of Yes is 6%, unchanged from a week ago. Each price is the probability traders currently assign to that outcome, and it moves as they buy and sell. Trading closes Dec 31, 2027.
