As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 46% probability that Teddy reaches maximum sustained winds of greater than or equal to 157 mph. 5 outcomes · resolves Dec 1, 2026.
1. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each upon market resolution; all others settle at $0.00.
2. Trades execute at the current market price unless a limit order is placed.
3. Limit orders remain active until filled, cancelled, or the market closes.
4. Shares can be sold any time before the market closes.
5. Markets may be suspended or cancelled for ambiguous outcomes.
6. All balances and positions are denominated in USD.
Each outcome settles on its own terms. For “Category 5 or above”: If Teddy reaches maximum sustained winds of greater than or equal to 157 mph, then the market resolves to Yes. Should the event occur prior to December 01, 2026, the market will expire at the first 10:00 AM ET following the occurrence of the event. Resolved using National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration and The Weather Company.
This Climate and Weather market on OpinionKings has 5 outcomes. “Category 5 or above” leads at 46%, up from 1% a week ago. The next most likely outcome, “Category 4 or above”, is at 1%. Each price is the probability traders currently assign to that outcome, and it moves as they buy and sell. Trading closes Dec 1, 2026.
