As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 67% probability that USDA NASS reports that Iowa’s corn for grain production for 2026 is above 2.772 billion bushels. 2 outcomes · resolves Jan 31, 2027.
1. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each upon market resolution; all others settle at $0.00.
2. Trades execute at the current market price unless a limit order is placed.
3. Limit orders remain active until filled, cancelled, or the market closes.
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5. Markets may be suspended or cancelled for ambiguous outcomes.
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If USDA NASS reports that Iowa’s corn for grain production for 2026 is above 2.772 billion bushels, then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is USDA NASS’s reported Iowa Corn, Grain — Production for the 2026 crop, measured in bushels. Corn silage will not be included. The 2.772-billion-bushel threshold is fixed and will not change if NASS later revises its 2025 figure. Resolved using Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
This Economics market on OpinionKings has 2 outcomes. The chance of Yes is 67%, up from 64% a week ago. Each price is the probability traders currently assign to that outcome, and it moves as they buy and sell. Trading closes Jan 31, 2027.
