As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 86% probability that EIA reports that Kentucky’s total coal production for calendar year 2027 is above 20 million short tons. 6 outcomes · resolves Apr 30, 2028.
1. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each upon market resolution; all others settle at $0.00.
2. Trades execute at the current market price unless a limit order is placed.
3. Limit orders remain active until filled, cancelled, or the market closes.
4. Shares can be sold any time before the market closes.
5. Markets may be suspended or cancelled for ambiguous outcomes.
6. All balances and positions are denominated in USD.
Each outcome settles on its own terms. For “Above 20 million short tons”: If EIA reports that Kentucky’s total coal production for calendar year 2027 is above 20 million short tons, then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is the Kentucky Total in EIA’s Table 2 - Coal Production by State for the first Quarterly Coal Report containing full-year 2027 data. Production is reported in thousand short tons and will be converted to million short tons by dividing by 1,000. Eastern and Western Kentucky production are both included. Resolved using Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
This Economics market on OpinionKings has 6 outcomes. “Above 20 million short tons” leads at 86%, down from 87% a week ago. The next most likely outcome, “Above 22 million short tons”, is at 70%. Each price is the probability traders currently assign to that outcome, and it moves as they buy and sell. Trading closes Apr 30, 2028.
