As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 13% probability that the National Guard is deployed to Detroit before Jan 1, 2027. 5 outcomes · resolves Jan 1, 2027.
1. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each upon market resolution; all others settle at $0.00.
2. Trades execute at the current market price unless a limit order is placed.
3. Limit orders remain active until filled, cancelled, or the market closes.
4. Shares can be sold any time before the market closes.
5. Markets may be suspended or cancelled for ambiguous outcomes.
6. All balances and positions are denominated in USD.
Each outcome settles on its own terms. For “Detroit”: If the National Guard is deployed to Detroit after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Deployment means National Guard members arrive in Detroit on official deployment orders, under State Active Duty (SAD), Title 32, or Title 10 activation, for operational missions (not routine training), with actual presence in Detroit, not merely assigned or in transit.
This Politics market on OpinionKings has 5 outcomes. “Detroit” leads at 13%, up from 12% a week ago. The next most likely outcome, “Houston”, is at 13%. Each price is the probability traders currently assign to that outcome, and it moves as they buy and sell. Trading closes Jan 1, 2027.
