As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 95% probability that Marc Marquez wins the 2026 MotoGP World Championship. 22 outcomes · resolves Dec 14, 2026.
1. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each upon market resolution; all others settle at $0.00.
2. Trades execute at the current market price unless a limit order is placed.
3. Limit orders remain active until filled, cancelled, or the market closes.
4. Shares can be sold any time before the market closes.
5. Markets may be suspended or cancelled for ambiguous outcomes.
6. All balances and positions are denominated in USD.
Each outcome settles on its own terms. For “Marc Marquez”: If Marc Marquez wins the 2026 MotoGP World Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. The 2026 MotoGP World Champion is decided by the highest number of points accumulated over a 22-round season. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Resolved using ESPN, MotoGP and Fox Sports.
This Sports market on OpinionKings has 22 outcomes. “Marc Marquez” leads at 95%, up from 92% a week ago. The next most likely outcome, “Fabio Quartararo”, is at 6%. Each price is the probability traders currently assign to that outcome, and it moves as they buy and sell. Trading closes Dec 14, 2026.
