As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 11% probability that Brendan Carr has either officially announced their intention to leave as chair of the Federal Communications Commission or has actually left as chair of the Federal Communications Commission before Jan 1, 2027. 2 outcomes · resolves Dec 31, 2026.
1. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each upon market resolution; all others settle at $0.00.
2. Trades execute at the current market price unless a limit order is placed.
3. Limit orders remain active until filled, cancelled, or the market closes.
4. Shares can be sold any time before the market closes.
5. Markets may be suspended or cancelled for ambiguous outcomes.
6. All balances and positions are denominated in USD.
If Brendan Carr has either officially announced their intention to leave as chair of the Federal Communications Commission or has actually left as chair of the Federal Communications Commission before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. The market resolves to Yes upon either an official announcement of departure or actual departure from office. An announcement must be made by the person themselves, their authorized representative, or the governing body of the office and reported by at least one Source Agency. Resolved using The Washington Post, Fox News and MSNBC.
This Politics market on OpinionKings has 2 outcomes. The chance of Yes is 11%, down from 13% a week ago. Each price is the probability traders currently assign to that outcome, and it moves as they buy and sell. Trading closes Dec 31, 2026.
