As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 63% probability that the total precipitation at KAPC in Napa in December 2026 is strictly greater than 2 inches. 6 outcomes · resolves Jan 1, 2027.
1. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each upon market resolution; all others settle at $0.00.
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Each outcome settles on its own terms. For “Above 2 inches”: If the total precipitation at KAPC in Napa in December 2026 is strictly greater than 2 inches, then the market resolves to Yes. The total is the sum of The Weather Company's daily precipitation values at KAPC from December 1, 2026 through December 31, 2026, inclusive, using its reporting days. If The Weather Company publishes a total for that exact period, that total takes precedence. Data: https://weather.com/kalshi. Resolved using The Weather Company.
