As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 99% probability that the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increases by more than 3.4% in the twelve months ending November 2026 (as represented by the one-decimal place value reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics). 21 outcomes · resolves Dec 10, 2026.
1. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each upon market resolution; all others settle at $0.00.
2. Trades execute at the current market price unless a limit order is placed.
3. Limit orders remain active until filled, cancelled, or the market closes.
4. Shares can be sold any time before the market closes.
5. Markets may be suspended or cancelled for ambiguous outcomes.
6. All balances and positions are denominated in USD.
Each outcome settles on its own terms. For “Above 3.4%”: If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increases by more than 3.4% in the twelve months ending November 2026 (as represented by the one-decimal place value reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics), then the market resolves to Yes. Resolved using Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This Economics market on OpinionKings has 21 outcomes. “Above 3.4%” leads at 99%, up from 96% a week ago. The next most likely outcome, “Above 3.0%”, is at 99%. Each price is the probability traders currently assign to that outcome, and it moves as they buy and sell. Trading closes Dec 10, 2026.
