As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 15% probability that the FRED T10Y2Y series (10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Minus 2-Year Treasury Constant Maturity), measured in percent (not seasonally adjusted), on any daily observation dated by Dec 31, 2026 (inclusive), is above .8%. 4 outcomes · resolves Dec 31, 2026.
1. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each upon market resolution; all others settle at $0.00.
2. Trades execute at the current market price unless a limit order is placed.
3. Limit orders remain active until filled, cancelled, or the market closes.
4. Shares can be sold any time before the market closes.
5. Markets may be suspended or cancelled for ambiguous outcomes.
6. All balances and positions are denominated in USD.
Each outcome settles on its own terms. For “Above .8%”: If the FRED T10Y2Y series (10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Minus 2-Year Treasury Constant Maturity), measured in percent (not seasonally adjusted), on any daily observation dated between Issuance and Dec 31, 2026 (inclusive), is above .8%, then the market resolves to Yes. Please note that intraday changes will not be reflected in the Underlying, as FRED only posts a single value per day. Resolved using Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.
This Financials market on OpinionKings has 4 outcomes. “Above .8%” leads at 15%, unchanged from a week ago. The next most likely outcome, “Above .9%”, is at 11%. Each price is the probability traders currently assign to that outcome, and it moves as they buy and sell. Trading closes Dec 31, 2026.
