As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 50% probability that Donald Trump and Zohran Mamdani meet in person before Mar 1, 2027. 3 outcomes · resolves Feb 28, 2027.
1. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each upon market resolution; all others settle at $0.00.
2. Trades execute at the current market price unless a limit order is placed.
3. Limit orders remain active until filled, cancelled, or the market closes.
4. Shares can be sold any time before the market closes.
5. Markets may be suspended or cancelled for ambiguous outcomes.
6. All balances and positions are denominated in USD.
Each outcome settles on its own terms. For “Before Mar 1, 2027”: If Donald Trump and Zohran Mamdani meet in person after Issuance and before Mar 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Both Donald Trump and Zohran Mamdani must be physically present in the same location and directly communicate or interact after Issuance and before the applicable date. A bilateral, pull-aside, sideline, informal, or multilateral encounter qualifies if direct interaction is documented. Resolved using Deutsche Welle, The White House and Associated Press.
This Politics market on OpinionKings has 3 outcomes. “Before Mar 1, 2027” leads at 50%, unchanged from a week ago. The next most likely outcome, “Before Jan 1, 2027”, is at 22%. Each price is the probability traders currently assign to that outcome, and it moves as they buy and sell. Trading closes Feb 28, 2027.
