As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 95% probability that Joshua Van holds the UFC Flyweight Title on Dec 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. 9 outcomes · resolves Dec 31, 2026.
1. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each upon market resolution; all others settle at $0.00.
2. Trades execute at the current market price unless a limit order is placed.
3. Limit orders remain active until filled, cancelled, or the market closes.
4. Shares can be sold any time before the market closes.
5. Markets may be suspended or cancelled for ambiguous outcomes.
6. All balances and positions are denominated in USD.
Each outcome settles on its own terms. For “Joshua Van”: If Joshua Van holds the UFC Flyweight Title on Dec 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Zuffa LLC, d/b/a Ultimate Fighting Championship, UFC. Any references to the “UFC,” or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Zuffa and Kalshi. Resolved using MMA Fighting, Fox Sports and ESPN.
This Sports market on OpinionKings has 9 outcomes. “Joshua Van” leads at 95%, down from 97% a week ago. The next most likely outcome, “Tatsuro Taira”, is at 2%. Each price is the probability traders currently assign to that outcome, and it moves as they buy and sell. Trading closes Dec 31, 2026.
