As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 56% probability that OpenAI pays tort damages of more than $1 million before Jan 1, 2028. 2 outcomes · resolves Jan 1, 2028.
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If OpenAI pays tort damages of more than $1 million before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. Resolved using Fox News, MSNBC and Securities and Exchange Commission.
This Science and Technology market on OpinionKings has 2 outcomes. The chance of Yes is 56%, up from 52% a week ago. Each price is the probability traders currently assign to that outcome, and it moves as they buy and sell. Trading closes Jan 1, 2028.