As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 100% probability that the number of ICE removals is above 200,000 in FY2026. 7 outcomes · resolves Jan 1, 2027.
1. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each upon market resolution; all others settle at $0.00.
2. Trades execute at the current market price unless a limit order is placed.
3. Limit orders remain active until filled, cancelled, or the market closes.
4. Shares can be sold any time before the market closes.
5. Markets may be suspended or cancelled for ambiguous outcomes.
6. All balances and positions are denominated in USD.
Each outcome settles on its own terms. For “Above 200,000”: If the number of ICE removals is above 200,000 in FY2026, then the market resolves to Yes. This market will resolve once complete data is available for FY2026.
This Politics market on OpinionKings has 7 outcomes. “Above 200,000” leads at 100%, unchanged from a week ago. The next most likely outcome, “Above 300,000”, is at 98%. Each price is the probability traders currently assign to that outcome, and it moves as they buy and sell. Trading closes Jan 1, 2027.
