As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 20% probability that Forbes reports that Jeff Bezos has become the second person in the world to reach a net worth of at least $1 trillion USD before Jan 1, 2033. 12 outcomes · resolves Jan 1, 2033.
1. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each upon market resolution; all others settle at $0.00.
2. Trades execute at the current market price unless a limit order is placed.
3. Limit orders remain active until filled, cancelled, or the market closes.
4. Shares can be sold any time before the market closes.
5. Markets may be suspended or cancelled for ambiguous outcomes.
6. All balances and positions are denominated in USD.
Each outcome settles on its own terms. For “Jeff Bezos”: If Forbes reports that Jeff Bezos has become the second person in the world to reach a net worth of at least $1 trillion USD before Jan 1, 2033 then the market resolves to Yes. Resolved using Forbes.
This Economics market on OpinionKings has 12 outcomes. “Jeff Bezos” leads at 20%, up from 19% a week ago. The next most likely outcome, “Mark Zuckerberg”, is at 20%. Each price is the probability traders currently assign to that outcome, and it moves as they buy and sell. Trading closes Jan 1, 2033.
