As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 99% probability that a representative of the Democratic party is sworn in as a Senator of Alaska for the term beginning in 2027. 2 outcomes · resolves Nov 3, 2027.
1. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each upon market resolution; all others settle at $0.00.
2. Trades execute at the current market price unless a limit order is placed.
3. Limit orders remain active until filled, cancelled, or the market closes.
4. Shares can be sold any time before the market closes.
5. Markets may be suspended or cancelled for ambiguous outcomes.
6. All balances and positions are denominated in USD.
Each outcome settles on its own terms. For “Democratic party”: If a representative of the Democratic party is sworn in as a Senator of Alaska for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details. Resolved using United States Congress.
This Elections market on OpinionKings has 2 outcomes. “Democratic party” leads at 99%, up from 91% a week ago. The next most likely outcome, “Republican party”, is at 1%. Each price is the probability traders currently assign to that outcome, and it moves as they buy and sell. Trading closes Nov 3, 2027.
