As of Nov 11, 2026, OpinionKings traders give a 95% probability that Raleigh-Durham Airport Authority reports that RDU’s total passenger traffic for calendar year 2026 is above 15.50 million. 6 outcomes · resolves Feb 28, 2027.
1. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each upon market resolution; all others settle at $0.00.
2. Trades execute at the current market price unless a limit order is placed.
3. Limit orders remain active until filled, cancelled, or the market closes.
4. Shares can be sold any time before the market closes.
5. Markets may be suspended or cancelled for ambiguous outcomes.
6. All balances and positions are denominated in USD.
Each outcome settles on its own terms. For “Above 15.50 million”: If Raleigh-Durham Airport Authority reports that RDU’s total passenger traffic for calendar year 2026 is above 15.50 million, then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is RDU’s official Passengers by Year → Total figure for 2026. Total passengers consist of enplaned plus deplaned passengers as reported by the Airport Authority. Resolved using Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
This Economics market on OpinionKings has 6 outcomes. “Above 15.50 million” leads at 95%, unchanged from a week ago. The next most likely outcome, “Above 15.75 million”, is at 83%. Each price is the probability traders currently assign to that outcome, and it moves as they buy and sell. Trading closes Feb 28, 2027.
